The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Universitario 17.2%
Draw 25.7%
Plaza Amador 57.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
26.5%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
25.9%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Universitario's form might have worsened.
Plaza Amador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plaza Amador's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Universitario than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plaza Amador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Universitario - Plaza Amador Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cao G. (C) 16. Yearwood A. 2. Garcia J. 6. Matos J. 4. Dean L. 7. Barrera J. 15. Saldana A. 18. Acosta M. 39. Vergara M. 21. Pimentel V. 10. McKenzie A.
1. Castaneda S. (G) 4. Sanchez J. 16. Yearwood R. 48. Pacheco J. 31. Davis E. 14. Knight A. 20. Murillo J. 21. Murillo D. 22. Walters K. 7. Gondola F. 19. Quintero A. (C)
Substitutes
25. Ampudia J. 9. Bolanos E. 8. Clarke J. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 14. Giron E. 24. Rangel R. 23. Rodriguez R. 17. Wittle B.
23. Allen M. (G) 99. Browne O. 10. Buitrago R. 9. Cagua G. 3. Cordoba O. 6. Lara J. 29. Lopez O. 15. Murillo Y. 27. Rios H. 43. Taivez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
5', 1 - 0, McKenzie A. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Murillo D. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Gondola F. ⚽,
38', Barrera J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
38', Vergara M. ↓, Avila V. ↑,
40', 1 - 3, Quintero A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 1 - 4, Murillo J. ⚽,
45+3', Dean L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Dean L. ↓, Anderson I. ↑,
50', Knight A. 🟨,
54', 2 - 4, Clarke J. ⚽,
72', 3 - 4, ⚽,
77', 🟨,
79', Acosta M. ↓, Giron E. ↑,
83', Saldana A. ↓, Rangel R. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CD Universitario won 1.
CD Universitario is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Plaza Amador is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Plaza Amador may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Plaza Amador is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CD Universitario won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, CD Universitario won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.8:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Plaza Amador - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.34%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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Cao G. (C) 
Yearwood A. 
Bolanos E. 
Wittle B. 
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