The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Herrera 16.8%
Draw 23.8%
Alianza Panama 59.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23%
26.8%
50.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
25.8%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Herrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Herrera's form might have worsened.
Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Panama's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herrera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Panama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Herrera - Alianza Panama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Roman S. (G) 27. Rivera J. 4. Moreno M. 2. Nunez S. 6. Bethancourt F. 14. Triana L. 11. Gonzalez J. 22. Gomez E. 7. Villarreal R. 15. Buelvas A. 17. Betegon J.
12. Gonzalez J. (G) 5. Campos O. 16. Mitre R. 2. Landazuri F. 13. Mendoza A. 18. Perdomo R. 22. Rodriguez M. (C) 17. Asprilla J. 8. Rangel G. 9. Walters B. 28. Alvarado J.
Substitutes
18. Castillo D. 33. Conquet J. 10. Cox Goods J. C. 20. Lopez J. 1. Melgar K. (G) 19. Penalba A. 40. Perez P. 3. Rivas J. 25. Tenorio D.
51. Carvajal D. 15. Galvez A. 26. Garces J. 1. Lopez Giraldo J. (G) 6. Marengo J. 3. Ortega Y. 40. Rodriguez C. 11. Spencer D. 29. Stewart A. 21. Tello E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Betegon J. ⚽,
45+3', 🟨,
45+6', 🟨,
45+7', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herrera won 0.
Herrera is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Alianza has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Alianza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Alianza is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Alianza in today's match, at odds of 1.67.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Herrera has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:19 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Herrera against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).
Mexico
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Roman S. (G) 
Rivera J. 
Gonzalez J. (G) 
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