The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Yupanqui 37.1%
Draw 31.6%
Argentino de Rosario 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
29.7%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
27.5%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Yupanqui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Argentino de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Yupanqui than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino de Rosario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Yupanqui - Argentino de Rosario Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Bartalini T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', Correa M. 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 1, Salomone S. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yupanqui won 0.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Recently, Argentino de Rosario has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Yupanqui won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Yupanqui won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.8:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Yupanqui - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Argentino de Rosario - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.3%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.