Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 20 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio David Ordoñez Bardales (Zacapa)


	Deportivo Zacapa		Deportivo Mixco

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.8	2.37
	2.9	2.85	2.48
	2.92	2.92	2.5
	2.95	3	2.54	Watch
	2.88	2.8	2.45
	2.91	2.85	2.47	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	2.87 ↓ (3.41)	2.47 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Zacapa
31.4%

Draw
31.8%

Deportivo Mixco
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.8%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.4%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Zacapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Mixco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Zacapa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Mixco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Mixco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zacapa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mixco will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Flores E. (G) 6. Aguero J. 76. Buenafe M. 20. Garcia E. 21. Garcia K. 14. Guzman Miron D. J. 17. Marroquin D. 7. Martinez L. 15. Oscar O. P. 28. Osurak M. 16. Reyes D.	30. Moscoso K. (G) 10. Arce G. 2. Flores N. 61. Lemus K. 12. Marquez J. 99. Martinez N. 5. Mendez D. 11. Pozuelos Y. 21. Rosas L. 33. Sotomayor J. 37. Yanes A.
Substitutes
8. Aldana B. 11. Escobar H. 33. Morales O. (G) 10. Pizarro T. 23. Polanco C. 27. Valenzuela O. 77. Williams N.	8. Cavallo F. 25. Hernandez M. 7. Lezcano A. 15. Marroquin R. 3. Moreno M. 23. Padilla M. (G) 9. Rivera E. 16. Urizar J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Sotomayor J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garcia E. ↓, Pizarro T. ↑,
46', Arce G. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
47', Pozuelos Y. 🟨,
58', Guzman Miron D. J. ↓, Escobar H. ↑,
65', Lemus K. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
75', Rosas L. ↓, Urizar J. ↑,
78', Aldana B. ↓, Polanco C. ↑,
86', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Martinez Matta C. ↑,
90', Marquez J. ↓, Cavallo F. ↑,
90+1', Martinez Matta C. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Zacapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
10.11.24	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Zacapa	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Zacapa	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Zacapa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTL
- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.11.24	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Mixco	3:0 ✺
02.11.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Deportivo Mixco - Marquense	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Deportivo Mixco - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.02.24	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Zacapa	3:1
21.01.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Mixco	1:0
02.09.23	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Zacapa	1:0
30.07.23	Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Mixco	1:0

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