Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Winston Pineda (Jutiapa)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America


	Deportivo Achuapa		Deportivo Mixco

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.2
	2.38	2.98	3.58
	2.21	3.18	3.31	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.25
	2.23	3.33	3.12
	2.3	2.57	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.33)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.33 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Achuapa
41.2%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo Mixco
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 19. Betancourt S. 13. Castrillo C. 30. Corado J. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 2. Gaitan M. 10. Macal E. 91. Matta A. . Mejia C. 66. Santos C. 9. Williams J.	30. Moscoso K. (G) 32. Gonzalez F. 24. Gonzalez O. 12. Marquez J. 99. Martinez N. 3. Moreno M. 29. Quinones E. 9. Rocha K. 33. Sotomayor J. 16. Urizar J. 19. Zuniga E.
Substitutes
28. Asprilla J. 88. Carabali Y. 21. de Leon I. 22. Gonzalez C. 4. Lopez P. 27. Ruiz L. (G) . Suazo D. 25. Tiul K.	18. Bolanos J. 26. Jerry 8. Lemus K. 5. Mendez D. 22. Moreira M. 23. Padilla M. (G) 11. Pozuelos Y. 21. Rosas L. 37. Yanes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Betancourt S. ↓, Suazo D. ↑,
19', Williams J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Williams J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rocha K. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
46', Quinones E. ↓, Pozuelos Y. ↑,
46', Marquez J. ↓, Jerry ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Williams J. ⚽,
58', Gaitan M. 🟨,
62', Williams J. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
62', Urizar J. ↓, Yanes A. ↑,
69', Gonzalez O. ↓, Rosas L. ↑,
82', Macal E. ↓, Carabali Y. ↑,
82', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
83', Mejia C. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
87', Zuniga E. 🟥,
90+2', Santos C. 🟨,
90+5', Martinez N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Mixco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Achuapa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Deportivo Mixco	11	6	0	5	19:17	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
24.01.26	Marquense - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Comunicaciones	2:3 ✺
18.12.25	Municipal - Deportivo Achuapa	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal	1:1 ✺
11.12.25	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLTT
- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.01.26	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
22.01.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
11.12.25	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Aurora - Deportivo Mixco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.12.25	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0
07.12.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	3:2
22.11.25	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	5:1
22.10.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	3:2
05.04.25	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0
02.02.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	0:0
02.11.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	2:1

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