Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio David Ordoñez Bardales (Zacapa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Claro Sports
Venezuela	Inter


	Deportivo Zacapa		Deportivo Guastatoya

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.85	2.9
	2.37	2.85	3.05
	2.56	2.8	3.29
	2.54	2.75	3.25	Watch
	2.34	2.94	3.01	Watch
	2.37	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.29)	2.84 ↓ (2.93)	3.09 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Zacapa
38%

Draw
32.3%

Deportivo Guastatoya
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Zacapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The chances for Deportivo Guastatoya have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Zacapa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Guastatoya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zacapa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Guastatoya will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Flores E. (G) 6. Aguero J. 8. Aldana B. 77. Castaneda B. 21. Garcia K. 17. Marroquin D. 7. Martinez L. 12. Milla J. 28. Osurak M. 10. Pizarro T. 27. Valenzuela O.	1. de Lemos A. (G) . Acuna I. 14. Alas J. . Armas V. 19. Betancourth R. . Dominguez O. . Garcia J. . Hernandez . Lon A. 16. Morales R. . Palencia E.
Substitutes
76. Buenafe M. 11. Escobar H. 20. Garcia E. . Josadac P. 5. Macal E. 33. Morales O. (G) 19. Ordonez B. 26. Tatuaca O. 9. Tinoco G.	. Cifuentes J. (G) . Escobar J. . Estrada J. . Garcia N. . Garrido S. . Morales H. 18. Nunez G. . Sanchez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Garcia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Palencia D. ↓, Nunez G. ↑,
51', Alas J. 🟨,
56', Milla J. ↓, Buenafe M. ↑,
56', Aldana B. ↓, Macal E. ↑,
56', Alas J. ↓, Armas V. ↑,
63', Lon A. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
66', Osurak M. ↓, Tinoco G. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Morales R. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Macal E. ⚽,
77', Acuna I. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
77', Betancourth R. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
85', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
89', Macal E. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Zacapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.10.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Zacapa	4:0 ✺
28.09.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Malacateco	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Municipal - Deportivo Zacapa	5:0 ✺
14.09.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Marquense	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Zacapa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLTT
- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.10.24	Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.08.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Zacapa	0:0
25.02.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:2
27.01.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Zacapa	6:0
09.12.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Zacapa	3:1
06.12.23	Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1
10.09.23	Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1
06.08.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Zacapa	0:1

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