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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 26.5%
Draw 23.4%
Middlesbrough U21 50.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
24.1%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
23.6%
49.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Middlesbrough U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Derby County U21 aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough U21 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Derby County U21 - Middlesbrough U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Price H. (G) 2. Wilson C. 4. Osayande A. 6. Banks L. (C) 3. Cox D. 8. Gill K. 5. Offor R. 11. McAndrew N. 10. Smith C. 7. Robinson K. 9. Oguntolu J.
1. Foster O. (G) 2. McCormick G. (C) 5. Hunt H. 4. Baptiste A. 3. Daley J. 8. Listowell H. L. 6. James D. 7. Coulson F. 10. Hamilton M. 11. Samuels O. 9. Campbell L.
Substitutes
14. Davidson J. 13. Dzialuk C. (G) 15. Green I. 16. Osong J. 12. Richards J.
14. Bakre H. 21. Connor S. (G) 12. Dede J. 15. Greenup I. 16. Harrison L.
Coaches
Maye D.
Tinkler M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Gill K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', McAndrew N. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
53', Campbell L. ↓, Bakre H. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Oguntolu J. ⚽, Wilson C. (A),
62', Cox D. ↓, Osong J. ↑,
62', Wilson C. ↓, Davidson J. ↑,
66', Hunt H. ↓, Harrison L. ↑,
66', Hamilton M. ↓, Dede J. ↑,
76', Oguntolu J. ↓, Green I. ↑,
77', Price H. 🟨,
87', Green I. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+7', Dede J. 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 29 and 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Middlesbrough U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Middlesbrough U21 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.8:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).