Match Info

Premier League 2

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: The Proctor Cars Stadium (Matlock)

Referee: Smith N. (Eng)


	Derby County U21		Southampton U21

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.2	1.68
	3.95	4.6	1.59
	4.21	4.79	1.62	Watch
	4.38	4.4	1.55	Watch
	3.95	4.6	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.57)	4.52 ↑ (4.35)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Derby County U21
22.9%

Draw
20.2%

Southampton U21
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

21%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

20.5%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Southampton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Price H. (G) 2. Turley F. 5. Canoville R. 6. Osayande A. 3. Moloney R. 8. Hawkins H. 4. Robinson D. (C) 7. Allen C. 10. Eames O. 11. Davidson J. 9. Washington C.	1. McNamara J. (G) 2. Abu D. 4. Boot N. 5. Kayi Sanda J. 3. Payne L. 8. Akachukwu R. 6. Bragg C. (C) 10. Sesay M. 7. Merry W. 11. Larios J. 9. Ehibhatiomhan P.
Substitutes
15. Agustien D. 16. Gill T. 14. Oguntolu J. 13. Shattell J. (G) 12. Tola M.	15. Charles B. 12. Davis S. 16. Malak I. 14. Moore J. 13. Shombe K. (G)
Coaches
Buxton J.	Rusk S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Turley F. ↓, Agustien D. ↑,
46', Washington C. ↓, Oguntolu J. ↑,
46', Davidson J. ↓, Gill T. ↑,
64', Akachukwu R. 🟨,
68', Boot N. ↓, Moore J. ↑,
68', Larios J. ↓, Charles B. ↑,
72', Robinson D. 🟨,
88', Eames O. 🟨,
90+3', Moloney R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: )).

S`hampton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs )

Derby U21 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

S`hampton U21 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Derby U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match S`hampton U21 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.7:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Derby U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County U21
English Premier League 2
07.04.25	Arsenal U21 - Derby County U21	2:2 ✺
14.03.25	Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21	5:3 ✺
28.02.25	Derby County U21 - West Ham United U21	0:1 ✺
24.02.25	Leicester City U21 - Derby County U21	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Derby County U21 - Leeds United U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLLL
- Southampton U21
English Premier League 2
04.04.25	Southampton U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	3:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
29.03.25	Southampton U21 - Charlton Athletic U21	5:3 ET ✺
English Premier League 2
16.03.25	Middlesbrough U21 - Southampton U21	1:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
12.03.25	Sheffield United U21 - Southampton U21	1:4 ✺
English Premier League 2
28.02.25	Southampton U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
15.12.23	Southampton U21 - Derby County U21	2:1
31.03.23	Derby County U21 - Southampton U21	1:3
06.01.23	Southampton U21 - Derby County U21	3:0

Derby County U21 - Southampton U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide