The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County U23 39.5%
Draw 25.2%
Leicester City U23 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
25.2%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
18.7%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Leicester City U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County U23 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City U23 than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Derby County U23 - Leicester City U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby U23 won 3.
Recent matches Derby U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Leicester U23 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Leicester U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Derby U23 won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Derby U23 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.