Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Derby County U23		Leicester City U23

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.55
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.24	3.5	2.5
	2.35	3.74	2.6
	2.31	3.85	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)	3.6 (3.6)	2.56 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County U23
39.5%

Draw
25.2%

Leicester City U23
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

25.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

18.7%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Leicester City U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City U23 than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derby County U23 - Leicester City U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby U23 won 3.

Recent matches Derby U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester U23 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leicester U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Derby U23 won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Derby U23 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County U23
English Premier League Cup
07.03.22	Derby County U23 - Sheffield United U23	4:3 ET ✺
English Premier League 2
25.02.22	Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23	5:2 ✺
21.02.22	Derby County U23 - Everton U23	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
14.02.22	Reading U23 - Derby County U23	1:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
07.02.22	Derby County U23 - Manchester City U23	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL
- Leicester City U23
English Premier League 2
28.02.22	Leicester City U23 - Manchester City U23	0:0 ✺
21.02.22	Leicester City U23 - Arsenal U23	1:1 ✺
04.02.22	Everton U23 - Leicester City U23	1:2 ✺
24.01.22	West Ham United U23 - Leicester City U23	1:2 ✺
17.01.22	Leicester City U23 - Brighton & Hove Albion U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
08.02.21	Leicester City U23 - Derby County U23	1:2
02.10.20	Derby County U23 - Leicester City U23	2:1
25.11.19	Leicester City U23 - Derby County U23	4:1
15.02.19	Leicester City U23 - Derby County U23	0:1
03.09.18	Derby County U23 - Leicester City U23	0:2
23.04.18	Leicester City U23 - Derby County U23	3:1
24.11.17	Derby County U23 - Leicester City U23	0:2

Derby County U23 - Leicester City U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Derby County U23 - Leicester City U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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