Match Info

Date: 25 February 2022, Friday


	Manchester United U23		Derby County U23

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.3
	1.32	4.8	6
	1.38	5.35	6.07
	1.36	5.15	6.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.91)	4.95 ↑ (3.68)	5.98 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United U23
66.5%

Draw
18.3%

Derby County U23
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

24.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

19.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester United U23's performance.

Derby County U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United U23 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Man Utd U23 won 1.

Recent matches Man Utd U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Derby U23 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Man Utd U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Man Utd U23 is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Man Utd U23 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United U23
English Premier League 2
20.02.22	Crystal Palace U23 - Manchester United U23	2:2 ✺
05.02.22	Manchester United U23 - West Ham United U23	3:1 ✺
21.01.22	Brighton & Hove Albion U23 - Manchester United U23	1:2 ✺
15.01.22	Manchester City U23 - Manchester United U23	3:1 ✺
10.01.22	Manchester United U23 - Tottenham Hotspur U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLT
- Derby County U23
English Premier League 2
21.02.22	Derby County U23 - Everton U23	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
14.02.22	Reading U23 - Derby County U23	1:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
07.02.22	Derby County U23 - Manchester City U23	0:5 ✺
21.01.22	Derby County U23 - Arsenal U23	1:1 ✺
17.01.22	Leeds United U23 - Derby County U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
19.11.21	Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23	1:1
10.05.21	Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23	1:3
03.05.21	Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23	2:6
04.02.18	Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23	1:1
22.09.17	Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23	1:2
06.02.17	Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23	5:3
19.09.16	Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23	3:2

Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide