Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 29

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Ballinamallard United		Portadown

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	2.5
	2.4	3.6	2.6
	2.45	3.33	2.52
	2.35	3.5	2.53
	2.41	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.81)	3.44 ↓ (3.48)	2.54 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
37.9%

Draw
26.4%

Portadown
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

25.9%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.9%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballinamallard United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballinamallard United's performance.

Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portadown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballinamallard United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portadown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ballinamallard United won 2.

Ballinamallard United is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Portadown is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portadown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Ballinamallard United won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 16-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Ballinamallard United won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
17.02.24	Newington - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	6:1 ✺
27.01.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Ballinamallard United	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	Ballinamallard United - Harland & Wolff Welders	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWLW
- Portadown
Northern Irish Championship
20.02.24	Portadown - Newington	0:4 ✺
16.02.24	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Annagh United - Portadown	2:2 ✺
06.02.24	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Dundela - Portadown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
23.12.23	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	3:0
23.09.23	Portadown - Ballinamallard United	2:0
Northern Irish League Cup
26.10.21	Portadown - Ballinamallard United	1:0
Northern Irish Premiership
14.04.17	Portadown - Ballinamallard United	1:0
30.12.16	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	1:0
22.10.16	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	1:2
10.08.16	Portadown - Ballinamallard United	2:1

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