Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 26

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Dergview		Bangor

	1	X	2
	3.75	4	1.66
	3.3	4.2	1.85
	3.42	3.79	1.79
	3.5	3.7	1.7
	3.83	3.84	1.74
	3.8	4.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.89)	3.94 ↑ (3.65)	1.74 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dergview
25.1%

Draw
22.9%

Bangor
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

25%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dergview has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dergview's form might have worsened.

Bangor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bangor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dergview, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bangor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dergview - Bangor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Dergview is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bangor in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dergview could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bangor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dergview won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
20.01.24	Portadown - Dergview	3:2 ✺
13.01.24	Dergview - Ballyclare Comrades	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Bangor - Dergview	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.23	Institute FC - Dergview	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLTW
- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Championship
19.01.24	Bangor - Dundela	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Newington - Bangor	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Bangor - Dergview	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.23	Bangor - Annagh United	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Ards - Bangor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Bangor - Dergview	3:1
Northern Irish Championship
23.12.23	Bangor - Dergview	3:0

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