Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 23

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday


	Institute FC		Dergview

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.5	6
	1.36	4.63	6.36
	1.36	4.63	6.36
	1.44	4	5
	1.36	4.8	6.3
	1.41	4.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.53 ↑ (4.5)	5.97 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Institute FC
65%

Draw
19.9%

Dergview
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

17.9%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Institute FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Dergview has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Institute FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Institute FC - Dergview Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Institute won 1.

Recent matches Institute is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dergview is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dergview could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Institute is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Institute won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Institute won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
26.12.23	Knockbreda - Institute FC	1:4 ✺
22.12.23	Institute FC - Ards	3:2 ✺
16.12.23	Newington - Institute FC	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Institute FC - Annagh United	1:3 ✺
05.12.23	Annagh United - Institute FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLT
- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
26.12.23	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Bangor - Dergview	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Annagh United - Dergview	3:0 ✺
05.12.23	Dundela - Dergview	3:2 ✺
01.12.23	Dergview - Institute FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
01.12.23	Dergview - Institute FC	2:2
15.04.23	Institute FC - Dergview	1:1
04.03.23	Institute FC - Dergview	2:2
30.12.22	Dergview - Institute FC	2:1
17.09.22	Dergview - Institute FC	0:3
22.01.22	Dergview - Institute FC	3:1
06.11.21	Institute FC - Dergview	1:1

Institute FC - Dergview: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide