Match Info
SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 11Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Derio |
|
Vitoria |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.5 |
3.7 |
1.51 |
|
 |
5.42 |
3.72 |
1.49 |
|
 |
5.42 |
3.72 |
1.5 |
|
 |
6.05 |
3.9 |
1.47 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.6 ↓ (5.73) |
3.76 ↑ (3.75) |
1.49 ↓ (1.51) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Derio 16% | Draw 23.9% | Vitoria 60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (+0.7%) 
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion). Derio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Vitoria is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4). In this match Vitoria is a favorite.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;