The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Desamparados 22.3%
Draw 31%
Sol de Mayo 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
35.1%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
35.5%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desamparados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Sol de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sol de Mayo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sol de Mayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.9%
11.8%
82.4%
Desamparados - Sol de Mayo Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Desamparados will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Sol de Mayo will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sol de Mayo: 64.3% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Desamparados is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Sol de Mayo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sol de Mayo will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Desamparados won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Desamparados won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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