Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Desamparados		Sol de Mayo

	1	X	2
	4.8	2.95	1.75
	5.4	3.15	1.62
	3.35	2.8	2.21
	3.76	3	1.97
	3.88	2.95	1.99
	3.4	2.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.58)	2.95 ↑ (2.58)	1.97 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desamparados
22.3%

Draw
31%

Sol de Mayo
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.3%

35.1%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

35.3%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desamparados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Sol de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sol de Mayo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sol de Mayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	11.8%	82.4%

Desamparados - Sol de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Desamparados will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Sol de Mayo will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sol de Mayo: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Desamparados is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sol de Mayo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sol de Mayo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Desamparados won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Desamparados won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Desamparados
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.09.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Desamparados	2:0 ✺
04.09.22	Desamparados - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
28.08.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Desamparados	2:1 ✺
24.08.22	Desamparados - Deportivo Camioneros	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	Cipolletti - Desamparados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.09.22	Sol de Mayo - Cipolletti	3:0 ✺
04.09.22	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Sol de Mayo - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
24.08.22	Sansinena - Sol de Mayo	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Sol de Mayo - Huracán Las Heras	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.06.22	Sol de Mayo - Desamparados	4:1
20.08.21	Desamparados - Sol de Mayo	0:0
25.04.21	Sol de Mayo - Desamparados	3:2
08.09.19	Desamparados - Sol de Mayo	1:1

Desamparados - Sol de Mayo