Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Bahía Blanca)


	Villa Mitre		Sol de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.5	6.7
	1.5	3.34	6.9
	1.56	3.36	7.61	Watch
	1.5	3.2	7.5
	1.55	3.46	7.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.39)	3.37 ↓ (3.85)	7.21 ↓ (8.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
60.2%

Draw
27.1%

Sol de Mayo
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

23.5%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

19.7%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Mitre's form might have worsened.

Sol de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Mitre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Villa Mitre will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 20. Ayala V. 6. Bacigalupe S. 5. Battigelli A. 11. Fernandez L. 17. Gonzalez E. 19. Ibarra T. 8. Monti L. 3. Pinto M. 9. Tunessi M.	1. Torres L. (G) 3. Amud L. 2. Areco G. 5. Gimenez F. 10. Jara S. 6. Kucich M. 4. Lopez S. 9. Morales H. 11. Pereira K. 7. Perez S. 8. Quilen L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Perez T. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Pereira K. ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 5.

Villa Mitre is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sol de Mayo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Villa Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villa Mitre is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:6. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Alvarado - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTTL
- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sol de Mayo	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sol de Mayo - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Sol de Mayo - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.06.25	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	2:0
12.04.25	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	0:3
09.06.24	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	0:2
30.09.23	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	0:4
02.08.23	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	4:1
11.06.23	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	1:1
16.04.23	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	1:0

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