Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 29

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Brusaporto

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.11	3	3.36
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	2.12	3.05	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.95)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	3.33 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
43.6%

Draw
29.3%

Brusaporto
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.6%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Brusaporto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusaporto than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Desenzano Calvina - Brusaporto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 0.

Desenzano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brusaporto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Desenzano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Desenzano won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
25.02.24	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Desenzano Calvina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Piacenza - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
31.01.24	Desenzano Calvina - Legnano	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Caldiero Terme - Desenzano Calvina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWWL
- ASD Brusaporto
Italian Serie D - Group B
25.02.24	Brusaporto - Pro Palazzolo	4:1 ✺
19.02.24	Caravaggio - Brusaporto	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Brusaporto - Arconatese	1:2 ✺
31.01.24	Folgore Caratese - Brusaporto	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Brusaporto - Tritium	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
29.10.23	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	2:1
05.02.23	Desenzano Calvina - Brusaporto	2:2
02.10.22	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	2:0
10.04.22	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	3:1
28.11.21	Desenzano Calvina - Brusaporto	1:1
06.06.21	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	1:2
07.02.21	Desenzano Calvina - Brusaporto	0:1

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