The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Desenzano Calvina 55.1%
Draw 27.1%
Ponte San Pietro Isola 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
25.3%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
24.4%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desenzano Calvina's form might have worsened.
Ponte San Pietro Isola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte San Pietro Isola than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 4.
Desenzano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ponte San Pietro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Desenzano is absolute favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Desenzano won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.