Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 14

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.71	3.4	4.6
	1.7	3.5	4.84
	1.7	3.5	4.69	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.67	3.44	4.78
	1.71	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.12)	3.43 ↑ (3.1)	4.66 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
54%

Draw
26.5%

Ospitaletto
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

30.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desenzano Calvina's performance.

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ospitaletto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Desenzano Calvina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ospitaletto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Desenzano Calvina - Ospitaletto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Petrella M. (Pen),
36', 1 - 1, Gobbi F. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Biasiol E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.10.24	Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	SantAngelo - Desenzano Calvina	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Chievo - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
02.10.24	Sangiuliano City Nova - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Arconatese - Desenzano Calvina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTWW
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.11.24	Varesina - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Ospitaletto - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
23.10.24	Breno - Ospitaletto	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Ospitaletto - Chievo	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Pro Palazzolo - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWWT

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