The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Sesto 33.2%
Draw 31.2%
Desenzano Calvina 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
29.8%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
30.5%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-1%)
Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Barranca F. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Bortolato F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Pro Sesto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Desenzano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pro Sesto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Pro Sesto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Watch
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