Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 11

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Desenzano Calvina		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.64	3.47	4.11
	1.6	3.5	4.5
	1.65	3.58	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)	3.51 ↓ (3.53)	4.42 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
54.5%

Draw
25.4%

Real Calepina
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

24.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Calepina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Desenzano is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Desenzano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
29.10.23	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Desenzano Calvina - Castellanzese	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.10.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Desenzano Calvina - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWT
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.10.23	Real Calepina - Tritium	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Caravaggio - Real Calepina	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Real Calepina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:0 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.10.23	Real Calepina - Casatese	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Folgore Caratese - Real Calepina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
15.01.23	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:1
11.09.22	Real Calepina - Desenzano Calvina	0:0
12.02.22	Real Calepina - Desenzano Calvina	1:2
06.10.21	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:0
16.05.21	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:2
31.01.21	Real Calepina - Desenzano Calvina	0:0

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