Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Desna Chernihiv		Kolos Kovalivka

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.16	3.05	3.15
	2.21	3.26	3.5
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.16	3.35	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.02)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	3.35 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desna Chernihiv
42.7%

Draw
29.6%

Kolos Kovalivka
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

21.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desna Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desna Chernihiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolos Kovalivka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 12).

Recent matches Desna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kolos has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Desna have a series of guest games.

Desna will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Desna won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Desna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
07.11.21	Lviv - Desna Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	4:1 ✺
22.10.21	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Mynai - Desna Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	Zorya Luhansk - Desna Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTTL
- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
07.11.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3 ✺
31.10.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Lviv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.21	Metalist Kharkiv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
24.10.21	Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Dnipro-1 - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
01.05.21	Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2
29.11.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Desna Chernihiv	1:1
05.07.20	Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka	5:1
30.05.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Desna Chernihiv	0:2
24.11.19	Kolos Kovalivka - Desna Chernihiv	2:0
17.08.19	Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.11.17	Kolos Kovalivka - Desna Chernihiv	0:1

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