Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Desna Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	1.14	8	19.5
	1.1	7.5	18
	1.13	6.4	14
	1.13	6.88	16.38
	1.14	6.5	21
	1.19	8.6	22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.31)	7.31 ↑ (5.8)	18.48 ↑ (8.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
82.2%

Draw
12.8%

Desna Chernihiv
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.8%

16.4%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.4%

14.8%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shakhtar Donetsk's performance.

Desna Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desna Chernihiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification) and 9).

Shakhtar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Desna is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shakhtar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shakhtar is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhtar won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Cup
27.10.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
23.10.21	Vorskla Poltava - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.10.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Real Madrid	0:5 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.10.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	6:1 ✺
03.10.21	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWT
- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
22.10.21	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Mynai - Desna Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	Zorya Luhansk - Desna Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
26.09.21	Desna Chernihiv - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.09.21	Metalist Kharkiv - Desna Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
14.03.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	4:0
04.10.20	Desna Chernihiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2
12.07.20	Desna Chernihiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:4
06.06.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	3:2
23.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	1:0
22.09.19	Desna Chernihiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1
19.10.18	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	1:0

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