Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 9

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Desportivo Brasil		União São João

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.75	2.65
	2.92	2.72	2.45
	3.13	2.7	2.41
	3.09	2.75	2.46	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.4
	2.94	3.05	2.5
	2.45	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.45)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)	2.52 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Brasil
31.7%

Draw
32.2%

União São João
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportivo Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Desportivo Brasil - União São João Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', Nuno 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

Desportivo Brasil has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

União São João is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

União São João may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Desportivo Brasil won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Desportivo Brasil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Desportivo Brasil - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

União São João - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.74%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.02.26	Rio Claro - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - Rio Branco de Americana	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Paulista - Desportivo Brasil	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - Portuguesa Santista	0:4 ✺
04.02.26	Francana - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.26	União São João - Marília	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	União São João - União Suzano	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - União São João	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Rio Preto - União São João	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	União São João - Rio Claro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.02.25	União São João - Desportivo Brasil	3:3
02.03.24	Desportivo Brasil - União São João	0:0

Desportivo Brasil - União São João: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide