Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 6

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Lima (Moncao)


	Desportivo Monção		Ribeira Brava

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.2	3.11
	2.55	3.18	2.59	Watch
	2.96	3.2	2.22
	2.9	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.9)	3.2 (3.2)	2.53 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Monção
34.9%

Draw
28.8%

Ribeira Brava
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.3%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Monção has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ribeira Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeira Brava than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ribeira Brava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Desportivo Monção - Ribeira Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Desportivo Monção is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ribeira Brava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Desportivo Monção may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.09.25	Celoricense - Desportivo Monção	5:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Desportivo Monção - Oliveirense	1:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.09.25	Desportivo Monção - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.08.25	Camacha - Desportivo Monção	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTWL
- CD Ribeira Brava
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.10.25	Ribeira Brava - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ribeira Brava - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ribeira Brava - Bragança	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Vila Caiz - Ribeira Brava	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.08.25	Celoricense - Ribeira Brava	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWLL

Desportivo Monção - Ribeira Brava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide