Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	New York Red Bulls 2		Tampa Bay Rowdies

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.33	1.4
	6.5	4.5	1.35
	6.2	4.3	1.37
	7.34	4.81	1.39
	8.2	5.1	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.9 ↑ (4.74)	4.61 ↑ (4.07)	1.36 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
13.2%

Draw
19.8%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

22.8%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.2%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls 2's form might have worsened.

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (37.7%), has project points - 28, has currently - 3, has a very small chance of playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 0.

New York Red Bulls 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tampa Bay is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

New York Red Bulls 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-21.

Including matches at home between the teams New York Red Bulls 2 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
15.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Rio Grande Valley	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Tulsa - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
23.03.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Loudoun United	0:3 ✺
16.03.22	Atlanta United II - New York Red Bulls 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLLW
- Tampa Bay Rowdies
US Open Cup
20.04.22	Orlando City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
16.04.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Tulsa	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Oakland Roots - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.10.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - New York Red Bulls 2	1:1
11.09.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - New York Red Bulls 2	6:0
06.08.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:2
02.06.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1
07.03.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1
26.07.19	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:0
18.05.19	Tampa Bay Rowdies - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0

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