Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday
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Deusto |
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Alavés C |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.42 |
2.92 |
2.78 |
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3.04 |
2.43 |
2.94 |
Watch |
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2.5 |
2.7 |
2.88 |
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2.5 |
2.84 |
2.77 |
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2.57 |
2.8 |
2.83 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.61 ↑ (2.3) |
2.74 ↓ (3.15) |
2.84 ↓ (2.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Deusto 34.9% | Draw 33.2% | Alavés C 32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Alavés C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Deusto - Alavés C Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 89', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).Deusto is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Alavés C is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Deusto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Alaves C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;