Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday
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Leioa |
|
Deusto |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.78 |
3.05 |
4.45 |
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 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
4.8 |
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1.74 |
3.08 |
4.96 |
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1.73 |
3.1 |
5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.98) |
3.03 ↑
(2.85) |
4.8 ↑
(4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leioa
51.3% | Draw
29.8% | Deusto
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leioa's performance.Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+3%)Leioa - Deusto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 🟥,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Leioa is seen as the favorite.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.6:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 | | | 26.04.25 | Deusto - Leioa | 2:0 | | 14.12.24 | Leioa - Deusto | 1:0 | | 16.03.24 | Deusto - Leioa | 3:2 | | 28.10.23 | Leioa - Deusto | 0:2 | | 21.05.23 | Leioa - Deusto | 2:1 | | 13.05.23 | Deusto - Leioa | 1:2 | | 04.03.23 | Leioa - Deusto | 3:1 |
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