Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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|
 |
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Santurtzi |
|
Derio |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.1 |
2.52 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.05 |
2.56 |
|
 |
1.47 |
4.19 |
6.11 |
 Watch |
 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.96 |
2.49 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.52) |
3.24 ↑
(3.16) |
3.24 ↑
(2.52) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santurtzi
40% | Draw
30% | Derio
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santurtzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)Santurtzi - Derio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Escobar M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 1 - 1, Jimenez D. ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).Santurtzi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Derio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Santurtzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Santurtzi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
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| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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