The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dewa United 47%
Draw 28.4%
Persebaya Surabaya 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
25%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
24.7%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dewa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dewa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Dewa United - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Dewa United will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dewa United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Dewa United (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dewa United (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Stevens S. (G) 3. Prasetyo W. 14. Fatari B. 2. Kuipers N. 97. Febriansyah E. 8. Jaja 28. Messidoro A. 11. Marukawa T. 10. Vikri E. (C) 5. Lilipaly S. 27. Struick R.
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 15. Tata M. 4. Dimov D. 91. Tumbas D. 53. Irianto R. 88. Raickovic M. 22. Freitas Gali 7. Rivera F. 10. Bruno (C) 11. Perovic M.
Substitutes
20. Bagaskara S. 37. Ballah A. 41. Cassio Scheid 7. Eka F. 9. Mbaga P. 1. Natshir M. (G) 6. Numberi T. 12. Nurviat R. 15. Rangga M. 23. Setiawan A.
99. Diego Mauricio 8. Fernando O. 68. Firmansyah T. 24. Lelis L. S. 77. Malik R. 18. May R. 27. Oscario R. (G) 55. Putra S. 23. Raditya K. 9. Rizky D. 12. Suaib A. 26. Wicaksono D.
Coaches
Riekerink J. O.
Perez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Tumbas D. 🟥,
45', Prasetyo W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Struick R. ↓, Bagaskara S. ↑,
53', Freitas Gali ↓, Malik R. ↑,
53', Perovic M. ↓, Lelis L. S. ↑,
57', Prasetyo W. ↓, Cassio Scheid ↑,
64', Irianto R. ↓, Firmansyah T. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Bagaskara S. ⚽, Fatari B. (A),
73', Lilipaly S. ↓, Mbaga P. ↑,
79', Raickovic M. ↓, Wicaksono D. ↑,
86', Vikri E. ↓, Numberi T. ↑,
90+10', 1 - 1, Bruno (Pen),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Dewa United is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dewa United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).