Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tusko (Tuzi)

Referee: Kurbanov T. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Montenegro	TVCG 3
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Dečić Tuzi		Liepāja

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.45	3.20	2.60
	2.52	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.53	3.3	2.65
	2.41	3.4	2.77
	2.5	3.25	2.5
	2.48	3.55	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.52)	3.33 ↓ (3.42)	2.63 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dečić Tuzi
37.3%

Draw
27.7%

Liepāja
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dečić Tuzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	61.5%	7.7%

Dečić Tuzi - Liepāja Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dečić will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Dečić (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dečić (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Radosevic D. (G) 14. Adzovic A. 29. Braunovic N. 8. Cetkovic A. 11. Djuranovic U. 22. Dresaj J. (C) 27. Kontic D. 18. Maras L. 32. Radusinovic B. 23. Stanisavic S. 17. Ujkaj L.	24. Oss D. (C) 55. Fellipe Vieira 23. Haidara A. 28. Korobenko A. 33. Korotkovs I. 44. Leidsman K. 18. Oloko E. 6. Rodolphe E. 35. Sorokins V. 2. Straalman B. 32. Strumia L.
Substitutes
16. Bozanovic M. 9. Camaj I. 10. Djokaj M. 33. Dragojevic M. (G) 7. Gjolaj M. 72. Ivanovic P. 88. Jukovic M. 77. Kajoshaj H. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 50. Mugosa J. 74. Pavlicevic P. 4. Vuljaj A.	14. Gueye D. 3. Iljins K. 26. Isajevs V. 29. Lakutis L. 7. Ogunniyi A. 12. Petkovic D. (G) 9. Pulis I. 40. Untulis R.
Coaches
Brnovic I.	Vassiljev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Kontic D. ⚽, Stanisavic S. (A),
18', Radusinovic B. 🟨,
26', Adzovic A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Leidsman K. ⚽, Straalman B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Korobenko A. ↓, Isajevs V. ↑,
59', Leidsman K. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Fellipe Vieira ⚽,
70', Maras L. ↓, Ljuljdjuraj P. ↑,
70', Adzovic A. ↓, Bozanovic M. ↑,
70', Cetkovic A. ↓, Pavlicevic P. ↑,
70', Radusinovic B. ↓, Mugosa J. ↑,
81', Kontic D. ↓, Ivanovic P. ↑,
84', Fellipe Vieira ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
84', Ogunniyi A. 🟨,
87', Oss D. 🟨,
90', Sorokins V. 🟨,
90+3', Oloko E. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Recent form of Dečić has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Liepāja has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Liepāja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dečić won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Dečić Tuzi - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Dečić Tuzi
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Liepāja - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Dečić Tuzi - Arsenal Tivat	4:1 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
28.05.26	Dečić Tuzi - Mornar Bar	0:1 ✺
Montenegrin First League
24.05.26	Bokelj - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Dečić Tuzi - Arsenal Tivat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- FK Liepāja
Latvian Cup
11.07.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Liepāja - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
04.07.26	BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	Liepāja - Ogre United	4:0 ✺
26.06.26	Liepāja - RFS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Liepāja - Dečić Tuzi	1:0

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