Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Daugavas stadions (Liepāja)

Referee: McMaster B. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Liepāja		Dečić Tuzi

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.50	5.00	Watch
	1.61	3.60	5.00
	1.68	3.75	4.70	Watch
	1.65	3.98	4.90
	1.77	3.56	4.36
	1.60	3.90	4.40
	1.72	3.69	5.02
	1.65	3.70	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.52)	3.71 ↑ (3.1)	4.8 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liepāja
55.8%

Draw
24.9%

Dečić Tuzi
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.

Dečić Tuzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dečić Tuzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dečić Tuzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	5.4%	10.8%

Liepāja - Dečić Tuzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 31 - 83.8%). Dečić will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liepāja: 71.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Dečić (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (5.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dečić (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Oss D. (G) 28. Korobenko A. 4. Martins M. (C) 33. Korotkovs I. 2. Straalman B. 6. Rodolphe E. 32. Strumia L. 23. Haidara A. 44. Leidsman K. 55. Fellipe Vieira 18. Oloko E.	25. Radosevic D. (G) 22. Dresaj J. (C) 17. Ujkaj L. 29. Braunovic N. 18. Maras L. 74. Pavlicevic P. 8. Cetkovic A. 27. Kontic D. 11. Djuranovic U. 7. Gjolaj M. 32. Radusinovic B.
Substitutes
31. Amatkarijo C. 14. Gueye D. 3. Iljins K. 26. Isajevs V. 29. Lakutis L. 7. Ogunniyi A. 12. Petkovic D. (G) 9. Pulis I. 1. Sorokins A. (G) 35. Sorokins V. 40. Untulis R.	14. Adzovic A. 16. Bozanovic M. 9. Camaj I. 10. Djokaj M. 33. Dragojevic M. (G) 72. Ivanovic P. 88. Jukovic M. 77. Kajoshaj H. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 50. Mugosa J. 23. Stanisavic S. 4. Vuljaj A.
Coaches
Vassiljev V.	Brnovic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Martins M. 🟥,
25', Leidsman K. ↓, Sorokins V. ↑,
45+3', Oss D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Maras L. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Oloko E. ⚽, Haidara A. (A),
65', Pavlicevic P. ↓, Adzovic A. ↑,
70', Fellipe Vieira ↓, Amatkarijo C. ↑,
70', Oloko E. ↓, Pulis I. ↑,
72', Radusinovic B. ↓, Ivanovic P. ↑,
72', Djuranovic U. ↓, Stanisavic S. ↑,
80', Haidara A. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
84', Kontic D. ↓, Djokaj M. ↑,
84', Gjolaj M. ↓, Jukovic M. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Liepāja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Liepāja is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Dečić Tuzi - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.29%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
04.07.26	BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	Liepāja - Ogre United	4:0 ✺
26.06.26	Liepāja - RFS	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Riga - Liepāja	4:0 ✺
16.06.26	Grobiņa - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- FK Dečić Tuzi
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Dečić Tuzi - Arsenal Tivat	4:1 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
28.05.26	Dečić Tuzi - Mornar Bar	0:1 ✺
Montenegrin First League
24.05.26	Bokelj - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Dečić Tuzi - Arsenal Tivat	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

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