Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Didcot Town		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	7.5	5	1.29
	8.5	5	1.28
	6.9	6.29	1.3
	6.9	6.29	1.3
	7	5.5	1.29
	8.3	5.25	1.28
	8.5	5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.66 ↑ (5.2)	5.48 ↑ (4)	1.29 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Didcot Town
12%

Draw
16.8%

Chesham United
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

22.6%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

22.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Didcot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Didcot Town's form might have worsened.

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesham United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Didcot Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Didcot Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Didcot is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chesham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Chesham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Didcot won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Didcot Town
English Southern League South Division
30.12.23	Swindon Supermarine - Didcot Town	4:1 ✺
26.12.23	Didcot Town - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Didcot Town	2:4 ✺
16.12.23	Didcot Town - Tiverton Town	0:0 ✺
12.12.23	Hendon - Didcot Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWTL
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
01.01.24	Chesham United - Harrow Borough	4:0 ✺
26.12.23	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Chesham United - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Plymouth Parkway - Chesham United	4:0 ✺
05.12.23	Chesham United - Tiverton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
10.10.23	Chesham United - Didcot Town	1:1

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