Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday


	Chesham United		Harrow Borough

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.27	6.26	7.61
	1.27	6.26	7.61
	1.33	5	6
	1.28	5.3	8.2
	1.3	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	5.47 ↑ (4.95)	7.4 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
70.9%

Draw
16.7%

Harrow Borough
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

18.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

17.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+1%)

Chesham United - Harrow Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 2.

Chesham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Harrow is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Chesham is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chesham won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
26.12.23	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Chesham United - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Plymouth Parkway - Chesham United	4:0 ✺
05.12.23	Chesham United - Tiverton Town	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Totton - Chesham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWT
- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
26.12.23	Harrow Borough - Hendon	1:3 ✺
23.12.23	Poole Town - Harrow Borough	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Harrow Borough - Basingstoke Town	4:2 ✺
25.11.23	Hungerford Town - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.02.23	Chesham United - Harrow Borough	2:2
11.10.22	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	2:1
11.12.21	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	0:4
07.12.21	Chesham United - Harrow Borough	0:0
06.10.20	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	1:2
15.02.20	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	2:2
15.10.19	Chesham United - Harrow Borough	1:1

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