Match Info

I Liqa - Round 19

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Difai Ağsu		Cəbrayıl

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.4	2.42	Watch
	2.48	3.59	2.37
	4.38	4.30	1.58	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.38
	2.49	3.42	2.39
	2.45	3.15	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.45)	3.52 ↑ (3.15)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Difai Ağsu
33.1%

Draw
26.3%

Cəbrayıl
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Cəbrayıl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cəbrayıl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Difai Ağsu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cəbrayıl than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cəbrayıl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Difai Ağsu - Cəbrayıl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Andzouono E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, Musazada M. ⚽,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Difai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Difai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Difai Ağsu
Azerbaijan First Division
12.03.26	Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Difai Ağsu - Şəfa	1:8 ✺
19.02.26	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Difai Ağsu - Shimal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Cəbrayıl FK
Azerbaijan First Division
13.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Səbail	1:4 ✺
24.02.26	Shimal - Cəbrayıl	3:2 ✺
18.02.26	Cəbrayıl - Baku Sporting	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Shahdag Qusar - Cəbrayıl	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
25.12.25	Difai Ağsu - Cəbrayıl	5:2
03.10.25	Cəbrayıl - Difai Ağsu	4:0
16.05.25	Difai Ağsu - Cəbrayıl	1:1
13.03.25	Cəbrayıl - Difai Ağsu	0:4

Difai Ağsu - Cəbrayıl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide