Match Info

I Liqa - Round 25

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Cəbrayıl		Baku Sporting

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.65	1.62
	4.53	3.32	1.75	Watch
	5.1	3.7	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.55)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cəbrayıl
19.1%

Draw
25.4%

Baku Sporting
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

24.7%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

23.4%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cəbrayıl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cəbrayıl than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Achimi D. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Tagiyev E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 2 - 1, Daouda A. ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, Tagiyev E. ⚽,
86', 2 - 3, Tagiyev E. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cəbrayıl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sporting is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cəbrayıl won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cəbrayıl won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Baku Sporting	3	0	0	3	0:7	-7	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cəbrayıl FK
Azerbaijan First Division
30.04.26	Səbail - Cəbrayıl	6:0 ✺
22.04.26	Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Cəbrayıl	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWTWL
- Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division
30.04.26	Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Shimal - Baku Sporting	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Baku Sporting - Şəfa	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
18.02.26	Cəbrayıl - Baku Sporting	1:2
05.11.25	Baku Sporting - Cəbrayıl	2:0
01.05.25	Cəbrayıl - Baku Sporting	2:1
27.02.25	Baku Sporting - Cəbrayıl	1:0
29.11.24	Cəbrayıl - Baku Sporting	1:2

Cəbrayıl - Baku Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide