Match Info
I Liqa - Round 18Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday
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 |
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Difai Ağsu |
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Baku Sporting |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.75 |
3.55 |
1.6 |
|
 |
4.49 |
3.58 |
1.66 |
|
 |
4.31 |
2.90 |
1.94 |
 Watch |
 |
4.6 |
3.25 |
1.67 |
|
 |
4.69 |
3.55 |
1.65 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.57 ↑
(4.55) |
3.37 ↓
(3.45) |
1.7 ↑
(1.65) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Difai Ağsu
19.8% | Draw
26.9% | Baku Sporting
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Difai Ağsu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+2%)Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 - Difai (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Difai (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Mammadli K. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Kamta K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 2, Tagiyev E. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 3, Pablo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone I Liqa (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).Difai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Sporting is considered a favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Difai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).Including home match between the teams, Difai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Baku Sporting | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Azerbaijan First Division | | | 13.09.25 | Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu | 2:2 | | 08.05.25 | Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu | 1:2 | | 06.03.25 | Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting | 0:1 | | 11.12.24 | Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu | 0:2 |
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