Match Info
I Liqa - Round 21Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday
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Difai Ağsu |
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Shahdag Qusar |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.15 |
3.4 |
1.98 |
Watch |
 |
2.98 |
3.56 |
2.02 |
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 |
6.63 |
4.30 |
1.41 |
Watch |
 |
3.1 |
3.25 |
2 |
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 |
3.51 |
3.2 |
2.06 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↑
(3.05) |
3.54 ↑
(3.35) |
1.89 ↓
(2.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Difai Ağsu
24.2% | Draw
26.4% | Shahdag Qusar
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Difai Ağsu's form might have worsened.Shahdag Qusar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shahdag Qusar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Difai Ağsu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shahdag Qusar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Difai will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shahdag will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, Camalov F. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 2, Adjey K. ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 3, Agalarov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 78', Adjey K. 🟨,
Preview
Difai is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Shahdag is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Shahdag will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Difai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).Including home match between the teams, Difai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 32 |
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| 9 | Difai Agsu | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 26:51 | -25 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
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