Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange (Differdange) 🌤️ ...


	Differdange 03		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.65	4.85
	1.6	3.85	5.32
	1.69	3.62	4.55	Watch
	1.58	3.7	5.03
	1.55	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	4.9 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Differdange 03
56.8%

Draw
24.7%

Progrès Niedercorn
18.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

24%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Differdange 03 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Differdange 03 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Felipe (G) 14. Bedouret J. 5. Brusco T. 4. D'Anzico K. 34. El Idrissi A. 25. Franzoni G. (C) 23. Hadji S. 55. Leandro Borges 32. Lempereur D. 28. Pacheco E. 21. Rauch L.	31. Alves Margato J. (G) 8. Ahmetxhekaj D. 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 80. Avdusinovic K. 19. Bouche Y. 9. Chambon H. 23. Duarte C. 11. Gilgemann M. 28. Guett A. 26. Hend B. 27. Peugnet V. (C)
Substitutes
10. Abreu A. 77. Bei G. 9. Buch A. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 39. Jakobi L. 7. Mfoumou B. 20. Pinto R.	34. Alves A. 17. Camara M. 1. Flauss S. (G) 71. Hoxha F. 33. Khadir A. 7. Schmid J. 37. Souchard T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Franzoni G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Ahmetxjekaj A. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Lempereur D. ⚽,
65', Chambon H. ↓, Hoxha F. ↑,
66', Pacheco E. ↓, Abreu A. ↑,
66', Hadji S. ↓, Buch A. ↑,
71', Hoxha F. 🟨,
76', Bouche Y. 🟨,
78', Bouche Y. ↓, Schmid J. ↑,
78', Ahmetxhekaj D. ↓, Souchard T. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Souchard T. ⚽,
80', El Idrissi A. ↓, Mfoumou B. ↑,
90', Avdusinovic K. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
90+1', Bedouret J. 🟨,
90+2', Bedouret J. 🟨,
90+4', Lempereur D. 🟨,
90+4', Guett A. 🟨,
90+4', Duarte C. 🟥,
90+5', Abreu A. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 4.

Differdange 03 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Progrès Niedercorn's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Differdange 03 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Differdange 03 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Differdange 03 is the team to beat.

We predict that Differdange 03 will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Differdange 03 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
26.11.25	Differdange 03 - Rodange	2:2 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
09.11.25	Differdange 03 - Pétange	2:1 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Differdange 03 - Pétange	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Differdange 03 - Racing Luxembourg	5:1 ✺
26.10.25	Victoria Rosport - Differdange 03	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWW
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg Cup
07.11.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
31.10.25	Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Mamer - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Atert Bissen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
01.03.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03	0:2
01.09.24	Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0
13.05.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03	0:1
Luxembourg Cup
24.04.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03	2:0
Luxembourg National Division
03.12.23	Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn	3:1
06.05.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03	2:0
Luxembourg Cup
26.04.23	Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn	3:2

Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn