Match Info

National - Round 32

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Dijon		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.4	4.35	6.7
	1.43	4.5	7.96
	1.41	4.2	6.88	Watch
	1.36	4	7
	1.48	4.27	6.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	4.25 ↓ (4.3)	6.8 ↓ (7.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
64.9%

Draw
21.6%

Châteauroux
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.3%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.5%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dijon - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: Dijon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montfort L. (G) 23. Lacroix L. 6. Diouf W. 5. Bernard Q. 2. Diallo I. 21. Chouchane S. 14. Marie J. (C) 18. Ndezi B. 4. Barreto M. 22. Domingues J. 11. Tavares J.	16. Lavallee L. (G) 12. Koembo J. 6. Kelo G. 4. Diarra D. (C) 19. Piquionne L. 5. Wade P. 21. Chahid Y. 10. Freitas R. 20. Bouaoune I. 39. Beneddine M. 18. Tjomb G.
Substitutes
10. Barka Y. 17. Lembezat A. 29. Ntamack A. 19. Obongo C. 20. Vargas-Rios H.	30. Ba M. (G) 27. Boussaid W. 29. Diakhaby L. 23. Djaha A. 14. Verdier Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Domingues J. ⚽, Lacroix L. (A),
24', Bernard Q. 🟥,
26', 1 - 1, Piquionne L. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 2, Chahid Y. ⚽,
42', Lacroix L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Domingues J. ↓, Obongo C. ↑,
54', Wade P. 🟨,
62', Tjomb G. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
69', Bouaoune I. 🟨,
70', Ndezi B. ↓, Vargas-Rios H. ↑,
70', Chouchane S. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
70', Tavares J. ↓, Barka Y. ↑,
73', Diarra D. 🟨,
74', Beneddine M. ↓, Djaha A. ↑,
81', Barreto M. ↓, Lembezat A. ↑,
82', Lembezat A. 🟨,
88', Koembo J. ↓, Diakhaby L. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 1.

Dijon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Châteauroux's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Dijon is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dijon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
24.04.26	Valenciennes - Dijon	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Dijon - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Dijon - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Fleury 91 - Dijon	3:1 ✺
27.03.26	Dijon - Versailles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLW
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
24.04.26	Châteauroux - Fleury 91	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Versailles - Châteauroux	4:0 ✺
10.04.26	Châteauroux - Quevilly	3:5 ✺
03.04.26	Aubagne - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Châteauroux - Concarneau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.12.25	Châteauroux - Dijon	0:0
02.05.25	Châteauroux - Dijon	3:3
10.01.25	Dijon - Châteauroux	4:0
09.02.24	Dijon - Châteauroux	1:1
01.09.23	Châteauroux - Dijon	2:0
French Ligue 2
08.05.15	Dijon - Châteauroux	0:1
19.12.14	Châteauroux - Dijon	1:1

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