Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 30

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: RCOP-BGU Stadium (Minsk) 🌤️ ...


	Dinamo Minsk 2		Ostrovets

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.20	2.45
	2.37	3.58	2.37	Watch
	2.09	3.60	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.37)	3.46 ↓ (3.58)	2.52 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 12%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk 2
38.8%

Draw
25.8%

Ostrovets
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

24.6%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ostrovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Radkevich D. (G) 7. Bachauskas I. 14. Chernyavskiy M. 24. Chumak A. 19. Degtyarenko D. 18. Drozd G. 5. Kibak V. 4. Leontyuk D. 16. Sereda G. 25. Varonin U. 10. Zhivushko S.	82. Drozd V. (G) 11. Boychenko M. 18. Davyskiba R. 10. Goncharik K. 22. Kalinovskiy M. 21. Kilyimanov A. 44. Krivtsov G. 17. Medvedev R. 19. Mikhey E. 81. Skripnik G. 7. Zaytsev I.
Substitutes
1. Aleksandrovich A. (G) 8. Grabtsevich A. 20. Gudach T. 2. Nizovtsev M. 17. Penkrat A. 23. Raptunovich N. 13. Sanko N. 11. Yastachkin A. 9. Yurevich I. 21. Zhigimont S.	8. Davidovich A. 9. Fedosenko A. 23. Gonzhurov A. 2. Merkulov D. 14. Mokshin I. 13. Snetkov A. 15. Statkevich T. 97. Tsyk D. 88. Yakimovich N. 20. Zhernosek G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Davyskiba R. 🟨,
43', Kibak V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Goncharik K. (Penalty Awarded),
63', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
80', 0 - 2, Yakimovich N. ⚽, Goncharik K. (A),

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 10th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Ostrovets may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Minsk 2 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 1.7:0.3 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ostrovets	30	9	12	9	41:42	-1	39
12	Din. Minsk 2	27	10	5	12	42:41	1	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dinamo Minsk 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
18.10.26	Slonim - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Gomel 2 - Dinamo Minsk 2	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Orsha	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Volna Pinsk - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Smorgon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLW
- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
17.10.26	Ostrovets - Soligorsk	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Ostrovets - Slonim	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	BATE 2 - Ostrovets	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Ostrovets	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ostrovets - Gomel 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
28.06.26	Ostrovets - Dinamo Minsk 2	1:1
22.10.25	Ostrovets - Dinamo Minsk 2	0:1
31.08.24	Ostrovets - Dinamo Minsk 2	0:3

Dinamo Minsk 2 - Ostrovets