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Current Win Probability
Dinamo Samarqand 53.3%
Draw 25.2%
Buxoro 21.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
26%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
23.2%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Samarqand's performance.
Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buxoro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Samarqand that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buxoro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dinamo Samarqand - Buxoro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Nemanov E. (G) 2. Radayev A. 20. Jumaboev J. 3. Stefan M. 4. Tukhtasinov N. 24. Khudoyberdiev A. 8. Amonov A. 30. Hajdarevic H. 16. Dumbuya A. 10. Khozhimirzaev A. 37. Abdurakhmonov F.
12. Khamroev U. (G) 97. Jurabekov S. 5. Kulmatov S. 42. Todorov K. 27. Yuldoshev M. 18. Rajabov O. 7. Mukhtorov K. 25. Esanov S. 78. Rodic V. 22. Joraboev A. 11. Mamasidikov T.
Substitutes
22. Abdullaev U. 19. Avanesyan T. 44. Khaydarov A. 7. Kodirkulov S. 17. Mustafoev S. 26. Stanojevic M. 25. Urmonjonov O. 13. Yagudin R. (G) 15. Yuldashev R.
1. Abdullaev S. (G) 14. Baratov I. 88. Begic D. 2. Filipovic V. 9. Kacharava N. 77. Kayumov A. 17. Ruziev J. 19. Umarov A. 90. Xikmatov A.
Coaches
Abramov V.
Khomyakov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Khozhimirzaev A. ⚽, Dumbuya A. (A),
18', Tukhtasinov N. 🟥,
31', Khudoyberdiev A. ↓, Mustafoev S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jurabekov S. ↓, Ruziev J. ↑,
60', Abdurakhmonov F. ↓, Kodirkulov S. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Joraboev A. ⚽, Ruziev J. (A),
66', Joraboev A. ↓, Kacharava N. ↑,
71', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Stanojevic M. ↑,
71', Khozhimirzaev A. ↓, Khaydarov A. ↑,
71', Amonov A. ↓, Urmonjonov O. ↑,
74', Kulmatov S. ↓, Filipovic V. ↑,
80', Rodic V. ↓, Kayumov A. ↑,
80', Esanov S. ↓, Begic D. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Kacharava N. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 1.
In recent outings, Dinamo Samarqand has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Buxoro is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Dinamo Samarqand for this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Samarqand has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:12 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo Samarqand against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).
Watch
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Nemanov E. (G) 
Radayev A. 
Stefan M. 
Hajdarevic H. 
Dumbuya A. 
Rodic V. 
Avanesyan T. 
Stanojevic M. 
Kacharava N. 
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