Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 23

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena (Tbilisi)

Referee: Aptsiauri A. (Geo)


	Dinamo Tbilisi		Dila Gori

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.25	3.40
	2.02	3.15	3.25	Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.53
	2.01	3.39	3.39	Watch
	1.92	3.3	3.4
	1.96	3.34	3.42	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.04)	3.3 (3.3)	3.38 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Tbilisi
45.8%

Draw
27.4%

Dila Gori
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Dila Gori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dila Gori than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dinamo Tbilisi will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Dila will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Flores L. (G) 17. Psaltis P. 27. Kurdic N. 13. Pourzitidis M. 3. Kalandadze A. 6. Leo Santos 22. Ninua N. (C) 23. Kankava J. 8. Welton 11. Vatsadze M. 14. Do Couto M.	1. Kereselidze D. (G) 2. Kikabidze T. 33. Etou R. (C) 25. Yarbrough L. 16. Sanyang M. 13. Joao Araujo 17. Anoff B. 24. Diouf M. 11. Grabovskis K. 22. Shekiladze S. 9. Kante M.
Substitutes
7. Doltmurziev K. 34. Gbomadu M. 26. Gogua G. 33. Houri L. 39. Kakashvili K. 18. Kvaratskhelia T. 30. Lomidze G. 37. Makatsaria M. (G) 32. Tsikolia L.	19. Gogoberishvili B. 14. Jalaghonia G. 8. Menteshashvili L. 21. Museliani Z. 10. Parulava O. 5. Poeketie M. 12. Sanikidze L. (G)
Coaches
Ketsbaia T.	Vavalis D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Ninua N. ⚽, Leo Santos (A),
29', Diouf M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yarbrough L. ↓, Jalaghonia G. ↑,
46', Etou R. ↓, Menteshashvili L. ↑,
51', Ninua N. 🟨,
56', Vatsadze M. 🟨,
57', Grabovskis K. ↓, Parulava O. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Do Couto M. ⚽, Leo Santos (A),
60', Kalandadze A. ↓, Lomidze G. ↑,
60', Vatsadze M. ↓, Doltmurziev K. ↑,
68', Welton ↓, Tsikolia L. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Anoff B. ⚽, Parulava O. (A),
75', Shekiladze S. ↓, Gogoberishvili B. ↑,
75', Kankava J. ↓, Kvaratskhelia T. ↑,
75', Do Couto M. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
83', Sanyang M. ↓, Museliani Z. ↑,
90', Jalaghonia G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Tbilisi won 2.

In recent matches, Dinamo Tbilisi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dila is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dinamo Tbilisi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dinamo Tbilisi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Tbilisi won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Tbilisi won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	45:30	15	48
5	Dila Gori	27	12	4	11	38:30	8	40

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo Tbilisi - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.72%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Rustavi	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Žalgiris - Dinamo Tbilisi	7:2 ✺
23.07.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
16.07.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1 ET ✺
09.07.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW
- Dila Gori
Georgian Cup
26.08.26	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 AET ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
22.08.26	Dila Gori - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Dila Gori - Meshakhte Tkibuli	3:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
02.08.26	Gori - Dila Gori	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.26	Apollon Limassol - Dila Gori	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Super Cup
01.07.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	1:0 penalties
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
20.05.26	Dila Gori - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0
03.04.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	1:2
06.12.25	Dila Gori - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:2
03.10.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	2:0
28.05.25	Dila Gori - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1
17.04.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	2:1

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