Match Info

HNL - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Dinamo Zagreb		Istra 1961

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	8.5
	1.33	4.95	7.9
	1.3	5.47	9.22
	1.31	5.31	9.1	Watch
	1.3	5	8.5
	1.31	5.1	8.75	Watch
	1.36	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)	4.95 ↑ (4.83)	8.57 ↑ (8.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
70.4%

Draw
18.8%

Istra 1961
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

19%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18.3%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 25. Valincic M. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 7. Stojkovic L. 27. Misic J. (C) 8. Zajc M. 30. Topic F. 9. Beljo D. 11. Hoxha A.	1. Kolic F. (G) 38. Kumar R. 16. Miettinen S. 4. Maresic D. (C) 3. Nasraoui M. 10. Loncar S. 5. Radosevic J. 97. Kadusic A. 17. Frederiksen E. 20. Ahmeti D. 9. Prevljak S.
Substitutes
71. Bakrar M. 70. Cordoba J. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 15. Galesic N. 3. Goda B. 21. Lisica M. 14. Soldo M. 13. Tabinas P. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 23. Varela C. 10. Vidovic G. 1. Zagorac D. (G)	77. Agada C. 25. Albarracin G. 18. Ayuma I. 12. Banovac R. (G) 32. Celija D. 11. Gorican S. 26. Heister M. 44. Hrvatin R. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 13. Sepic N. 24. Taraba F.
Coaches
Kovacevic M.	Riera O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, McKenna S. ⚽,
35', Dominguez S. 🟨,
38', Miettinen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kumar R. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
46', Dominguez S. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
47', Prevljak S. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽,
62', Topic F. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
64', Ahmeti D. ↓, Albarracin G. ↑,
64', Nasraoui M. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
72', Frederiksen E. 🟨,
73', 3 - 0, Zajc M. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
74', Stojkovic L. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
74', Frederiksen E. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
80', Hoxha A. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
80', Misic J. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
83', Kadusic A. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
87', 4 - 0, Vidovic G. ⚽,
90+2', Loncar S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 2.

Dinamo Zagreb is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Istra 1961 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Istra 1961 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I. (Injury) Lisica M. (Illness) Torrente R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Istra 1961: Djuric D. (Inactive) Mauric A. (Inactive) Robertsson L. (Inactive) Rozic V. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:16. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:7. (average 3.1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Istra 1961	9	3	3	3	17:14	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
08.02.26	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Midtjylland - Dinamo Zagreb	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.01.26	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Dinamo Zagreb - FCSB	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLWW
- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
07.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
30.01.26	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Istra 1961 - Rijeka	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Istra 1961 - Radomlje	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
09.11.25	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	2:1
23.08.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	3:0
05.04.25	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	3:0
25.01.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	3:1
19.10.24	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2
02.08.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	5:0
07.04.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	4:1

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