Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Dinamo Zagreb		PAOK

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.9
	2.4	3	2.85
	2.6	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.63	3.19	2.99
	2.64	3.19	2.99
	2.57	3.12	2.92
	2.55	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.16)	3.14 ↓ (3.35)	2.94 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
37.2%

Draw
30.4%

PAOK
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Zagreb's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.6%	15.6%	18.7%

Dinamo Zagreb - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). PAOK will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nevistic I. (G) 13. Ristovski S. 6. Bernauer M. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 39. Perkovic M. 27. Misic J. 25. Sucic P. 77. Spikic D. 10. Baturina M. 20. Hoxha A. 9. Petkovic B. (C)	42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny 16. Kedziora T. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 8. Meite S. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.
Substitutes
45. Cvetko I. 23. Halilovic T. 30. Kaneko T. 17. Kulenovic S. 4. Sutalo B. 72. Vidovic G. 36. Vrbancic L. 1. Zagorac D. (G) 15. Zivkovic M.	77. Despodov K. 88. Marcos Antonio 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 10. Murg T. 76. Panagiotou P. 22. Schwab S. 64. Talichmanidis C. (G) 6. Tsingaras T. 95. Tzimas S. 20. Vieirinha
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Lucescu R.

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

PAOK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dinamo Zagreb have a series of home games.

Recently PAOK have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bulat M. (Ankle Injury) Emreli M. (Muscle Injury) Rog M. (Knee Injury) Stojkovic L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Michailidis G. (Injury) Samatta M. (Back Injury) Sastre J. (Injury) Troost-Ekong W. (Injury) Zivkovic Z. (Illness)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Drmic J. (Injury) Moharrami S. (Knee Injury) Peric D. (Knee Injury) Vasilj J. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
03.03.24	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
28.02.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	4:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.02.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.02.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Betis	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
18.02.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWTW
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
03.03.24	Lamia - PAOK	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Panserraikos - PAOK	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Panetolikos - PAOK	1:3 ✺
Greek Cup
21.02.24	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:2 penalties ✺
Greek Super League
18.02.24	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL

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