Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Digiturk, TRT
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Dinamo Zagreb		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.9
	1.85	3.7	4
	1.88	3.65	3.9
	1.92	3.8	4.15
	1.78	3.85	4.37	Watch
	1.75	3.75	3.75
	1.92	3.91	3.89
	1.88	3.65	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)	3.76 ↓ (3.82)	3.98 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
51.1%

Draw
25.2%

Qarabağ Agdam
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

27.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.7%	15.7%	18.6%

Dinamo Zagreb - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 46 - 66.7%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 13 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 55.6% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Ristovski S. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 13. Mmaee S. 18. Pierre-Gabriel R. 27. Misic J. 20. Pjaca M. 25. Sucic P. 10. Baturina M. 11. Hoxha A. 9. Petkovic B. (C)	97. Buntic F. (G) 2. Silva M. 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 66. Andrade P. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. (C) 18. Juninho
Substitutes
6. Bernauer M. 19. Cordoba J. 23. Filipovic I. (G) 8. Kacavenda L. 17. Kulenovic S. 3. Ogiwara T. 66. Pavic B. 30. Rog M. 77. Spikic D. 4. Torrente R. 36. Vrbancic L. 1. Zagorac D. (G)	90. Akhundzade N. 27. Bayramov T. 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 24. Isayev A. 17. Keyta H. 99. Kochalski M. (G) 12. Mammadzada S. (G) 22. Qurbanly M. 20. Richard Almeyda 19. Xhixha R.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Ristovski S. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Pjaca M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Sucic P. 🟨,
62', Romao J. 🟨,
63', Pjaca M. ↓, Bernauer M. ↑,
63', Hoxha A. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
69', Kulenovic S. 🟨,
74', Leandro Andrade ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Baturina M. (A),
77', Petkovic B. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
77', Sucic P. ↓, Rog M. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
90+4', Jakirovic S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Dinamo Zagreb in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Qarabağ is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Qarabağ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dinamo Zagreb have a series of home games.

In this match Dinamo Zagreb is a favorite.

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Moharrami S. (Knee Injury) Peric D. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
16.08.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Šibenik	3:0 ✺
11.08.24	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
02.08.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
23.07.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Vardar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWTW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Qarabağ Agdam	2:7 ET ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
09.08.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
02.08.24	Araz Naxçıvan - Qarabağ Agdam	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Lincoln Red Imps	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches