The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ludogorets Razgrad 29.9%
Draw 26.8%
Qarabağ Agdam 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
28.1%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
30%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets Razgrad's form might have worsened.
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.9%
19%
19%
Ludogorets Razgrad - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 26 - 66.7%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 51.9% – 81.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 24. Verdon O. 4. Almeida D. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 30. Pedro Naressi 6. Piotrowski J. 23. Duarte D. 7. Rick 9. Duah K. 12. Rwan Seco
97. Buntic F. (G) 29. Vesovic M. 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. (C) 18. Juninho
Substitutes
18. Chochev I. 90. Delev S. 14. Gropper D. 67. Hristov D. (G) 15. Kurtulus E. 8. Nedelev T. 1. Padt S. (G) 10. Tissera M. 16. Witry A. F. 82. Yordanov I.
90. Akhundzade N. 66. Andrade P. 27. Bayramov T. 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 24. Isayev A. 17. Keyta H. 12. Mammadzada S. (G) 20. Richard Almeyda 2. Silva M. 19. Xhixha R.
Coaches
Dermendzhiev G.
Qurbanov Q.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Duah K. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Duah K. (Pen),
28', Mustafazada B. 🟨,
30', Vesovic M. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
38', Jankovic M. ↓, Andrade P. ↑,
45+1', 2 - 2, Benzia Y. (Pen),
45+5', 2 - 3, Andrade P. ⚽, Benzia Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Piotrowski J. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
54', Silva M. 🟨,
58', Chochev I. 🟨,
73', Rwan Seco ↓, Delev S. ↑,
84', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
85', Romao J. 🟨,
87', Zoubir A. 🟨,
89', Duarte D. 🟨,
90', Vesovic M. 🟨,
90+3', Rick 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 4)
91', Son ↓, Witry A. F. ↑,
93', 2 - 4, Bayramov T. ⚽, Zoubir A. (A),
96', Duarte D. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
98', Leandro Andrade ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
102', Duah K. ↓, Nedelev T. ↑,
104', Benzia Y. 🟨,
106', Juninho ↓, Xhixha R. ↑,
107', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
108', Pedro Naressi ↓, Kurtulus E. ↑,
111', 2 - 5, Xhixha R. ⚽,
112', 2 - 6, Andrade P. ⚽, Akhundzade N. (A),
118', 2 - 7, Benzia Y. ⚽, Romao J. (A),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
Now both teams are in good shape.
Ludogorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ludogorets won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.