Match Info

HNL - Round 1

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Melnjak A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2


	Dinamo Zagreb		Slaven Belupo

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.00	9.00
	1.24	6.50	9.75
	1.19	5.80	10.00
	1.24	6.68	10.15
	1.25	6.24	9.66	Watch
	1.21	6.60	10.00
	1.24	6.70	10.60	Watch
	1.21	6.00	9.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.21)	6.32 ↓ (6.53)	9.82 ↓ (11.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
75.8%

Draw
14.7%

Slaven Belupo
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.4%

14.3%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5 - under (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Filipovic I. (G) 13. Tabinas P. 15. Galesic N. 6. Radeljic S. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 80. Kacavenda L. 27. Misic J. (C) 7. Stojkovic L. 30. Topic F. 9. Beljo D. 11. Hoxha A.	30. Sentic K. (G) 18. Kruselj F. 4. Kovacic D. 5. Cvetko I. 77. Urata I. 22. Adeshina A. 21. Crepulja L. (C) 11. Mitrovic J. 17. Mazar F. 8. Banovec L. 90. Nestorovski I.
Substitutes
36. Dominguez S. 3. Goda B. 21. Lisica M. 26. McKenna S. 20. Mudrazija R. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 99. Orsic M. 41. Sunta S. 16. Torrente R. 25. Valincic M. 10. Vidovic G. 8. Zajc M.	15. Balen P. 13. Bilobrk A. 88. Bosak D. 24. Bosnjak L. 32. Covic I. (G) 7. Dabro M. 16. Geci L. 23. Jonsson A. 99. Kutlesa F. 28. Maric P. 45. Papac V. 20. Petrovic M.
Coaches
Kovacevic M.	Gregurina M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽, Perez Vinlof M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
58', Topic F. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
58', Tabinas P. ↓, Valincic M. ↑,
60', Mitrovic J. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
64', Kovacic D. 🟨,
67', Perez Vinlof M. 🟨,
70', Adeshina A. ↓, Jonsson A. ↑,
70', Nestorovski I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
73', Kovacic D. ↓, Kutlesa F. ↑,
74', Urata I. ↓, Petrovic M. ↑,
75', Hoxha A. ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
75', Kacavenda L. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
90+2', Misic J. ↓, Sunta S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 5.

Dinamo Zagreb is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Slaven Belupo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Slaven Belupo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Slaven Belupo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 60:21. (average 3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 33:9. (average 3.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Thun	3:2 ET ✺
21.07.26	Thun - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
08.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Koper	4:2 ✺
02.07.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Dinamo Zagreb	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTTWW
- NK Slaven Belupo
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Sesvete	4:0 ✺
21.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
16.07.26	Paksi SE - Slaven Belupo	5:3 ✺
14.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
10.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Debreceni	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
17.05.26	Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb	1:4
14.03.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	4:2
14.12.25	Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb	2:5
28.09.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	4:1
10.05.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	5:0
09.03.25	Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb	0:1
06.12.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	1:1

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