Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Croatia	RTL
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dinamo Zagreb		Thun

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.50	5.50	Watch
	1.51	4.60	5.75
	1.35	4.80	7.50	Watch
	1.47	4.56	6.28
	1.36	5.26	7.75	Watch
	1.46	4.40	6.20
	1.50	4.62	5.94	Watch
	1.48	4.70	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)	4.68 ↑ (4.59)	6.34 ↓ (7.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
65%

Draw
20.1%

Thun
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20.5%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	7.8%	4.7%

Dinamo Zagreb - Thun Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (56 of 64 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.4% – 95.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dinamo Zagreb will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Filipovic I. (G) 25. Valincic M. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 3. Goda B. 27. Misic J. (C) 21. Lisica M. 10. Vidovic G. 8. Zajc M. 99. Orsic M. 9. Beljo D.	1. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 19. Bamert J. 23. Burki M. (C) 27. Heule M. 70. Reichmuth N. 16. Roth J. 13. Zoukit N. 78. Matoshi V. 9. Dursun F. 96. Labeau B.
Substitutes
15. Galesic N. 11. Hoxha A. 80. Kacavenda L. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Perez Vinlof M. 6. Radeljic S. 41. Sunta S. 13. Tabinas P. 30. Topic F. 1. Zagorac D. (G)	17. Balaruban A. 5. Burgy N. 37. Dahler L. 21. Derbaci D. 33. Gutbub M. 18. Ibayi C. 52. Ilic A. 80. Lengen S. 30. Maier N. 54. Passavant L. 25. Spycher T. (G) 11. Stewart L.
Coaches
Kovacevic M.	Privitelli G. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Labeau B. ⚽, Zoukit N. (A),
21', Zajc M. 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, Burki M. ⚽, Fehr F. (A),
26', Goda B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Dursun F. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
46', Goda B. ↓, Perez Vinlof M. ↑,
58', Zoukit N. ↓, Maier N. ↑,
58', Vidovic G. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
58', Lisica M. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
59', Orsic M. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
62', Misic J. 🟨,
64', Topic F. 🟨,
66', Privitelli G. L. 🟨,
67', Burki M. 🟥,
68', Labeau B. ↓, Burgy N. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Beljo D. ⚽, Valincic M. (A),
77', Reichmuth N. ↓, Dahler L. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Kacavenda L. ⚽, Topic F. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Dominguez S. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
106', Fehr F. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
112', 3 - 2, Valincic M. ⚽, Misic J. (A),
116', Roth J. ↓, Stewart L. ↑,
116', Ibayi C. 🟨,
120', Hoxha A. 🟨,
120+2', Misic J. ↓, Radeljic S. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Dinamo Zagreb is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite.

We predict that Dinamo Zagreb will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dinamo Zagreb won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo Zagreb - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 67.37%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Thun - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
08.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Koper	4:2 ✺
02.07.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Dinamo Zagreb	0:9 ✺
26.06.26	Radomlje - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWWW
- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
25.07.26	Luzern - Thun	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Thun - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
17.05.26	St. Gallen - Thun	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Thun - Young Boys	3:8 ✺
10.05.26	Sion - Thun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Thun - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1

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