Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Thun		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.50	1.91	Watch
	3.60	3.75	1.95
	3.80	3.65	1.83	Watch
	3.65	3.93	1.96
	4.04	3.46	1.90	Watch
	3.35	3.90	1.92
	4.08	3.57	1.90	Watch
	3.80	3.70	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.74)	3.68 ↓ (3.71)	1.91 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
25%

Draw
25.6%

Dinamo Zagreb
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

25.3%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thun's performance.

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.5%	15.8%	80.7%

Thun - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (46 of 57 users predict this - 80.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.45% – 90.95%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dinamo Zagreb will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 19. Bamert J. 23. Burki M. (C) 27. Heule M. 70. Reichmuth N. 16. Roth J. 78. Matoshi V. 30. Maier N. 9. Dursun F. 96. Labeau B.	44. Filipovic I. (G) 25. Valincic M. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 3. Goda B. 27. Misic J. (C) 8. Zajc M. 21. Lisica M. 10. Vidovic G. 99. Orsic M. 9. Beljo D.
Substitutes
17. Balaruban A. 5. Burgy N. 37. Dahler L. 21. Derbaci D. 33. Gutbub M. 18. Ibayi C. 52. Ilic A. 80. Lengen S. 54. Passavant L. 25. Spycher T. (G) 11. Stewart L. 13. Zoukit N.	71. Bakrar M. 15. Galesic N. 11. Hoxha A. 80. Kacavenda L. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Perez Vinlof M. 6. Radeljic S. 41. Sunta S. 13. Tabinas P. 30. Topic F. 1. Zagorac D. (G)
Coaches
Privitelli G. L.	Kovacevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Zajc M. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Labeau B. ⚽, Fehr F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Maier N. ↓, Zoukit N. ↑,
56', Dursun F. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
63', Lisica M. 🟨,
66', Lisica M. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
67', Burki M. 🟨,
70', Roth J. 🟨,
79', Reichmuth N. ↓, Burgy N. ↑,
79', Labeau B. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
80', Vidovic G. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
80', Orsic M. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Zajc M. ⚽, Topic F. (A),
90', Heule M. ↓, Dahler L. ↑,
90+1', Fehr F. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Dinamo Zagreb is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dinamo Zagreb might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
17.05.26	St. Gallen - Thun	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Thun - Young Boys	3:8 ✺
10.05.26	Sion - Thun	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Basel - Thun	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Thun - Lugano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Dinamo Zagreb
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
08.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Koper	4:2 ✺
02.07.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Dinamo Zagreb	0:9 ✺
26.06.26	Radomlje - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.05.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWWWT

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